Analysis of All States of India on 27.06.2020

Analysis of All States of India on 27.06.2020

 

Dr Himanshu Shekhar

 

Introduction: On 27.06.2020, total confirmed cases in India will be exceeding 5.0 lakhs, but before that data is published on Aarogya Setu, a quick look at the various statistics for all the states of India is presented. The situation for 35 identified areas within India on 27.06.2020, before 1000 hrs is compiled in this post. The data for percentage recovery, death and active cases are considered. In Aarogya Setu app, total 38 geographical divisions in India are given, but last 3 namely Daman & Diu, Dadar and Nagar Haveli and Lakhadweep has zero cases against each head. These three are discarded and data is presented in this post for 35 regions.

 

Total Confirmed Cases: In the previous posts, Maharashtra, Delhi and Tamil Nadu have been analysed, as they contributed maximum in terms of total confirmed cases. These 3 states account for more than 50000 confirmed cases, each. In fact Maharashtra has more than 1.40 Lakh total confirmed cases as on 27.06.2020 and after 1000 hrs, with the current trend it may be crossing the dubious distinction of 1.50 lakh total confirmed cases. There are 9 other regions in the Bracket of 10000 to 50000 total confirmed cases, which is led by Gujarat, followed by Uttar Pradesh, Rajasthan, West Bengal, Madhya Pradesh, Haryana, Telangana, Andhra Pradesh and Karnataka. 11 regions have between 1000 to 10000 total confirmed cases and 12 regions have less than 1000 reported confirmed cases. However, there is a discrepancy in total confirmed cases. For India it is showing 490401 total confirmed cases, but sum of all the geographical region gives 482278 with a difference of 8123. This is probably due to adjustments made on 17.06.2020 for total number of confirmed cases.

 

Percentage Recovered: The trend of percentage recovery in all 35 regions of India is accounted. The best recovery percentage is from Meghalaya, which is 91.3%. However, total confirmed cases is only 46, out of which 42 recovered, and 1 death is also accounted. Next is Tripura, which has 1290 total confirmed cases and 1019 recovered cases giving a percentage of 78.99%. However, among the states, which have more than 10000 total confirmed cases and have better recovery is Rajasthan. Out of 16296 confirmed cases, 12840 recovered gives percentage of 78.79%. The regions showing more than 70% recovered cases are Chandigarh, Madhya Pradesh, Bihar, Andman & Nicobar Island, Gujarat, Odisha, Chhatishgarh and Jharkhand, in sequence. The sequence of states in 60-70% recovery rates in reducing percentage are Punjab, Uttarakhand, West Bengal, Uttar Pradesh, Assam, Karnataka, Delhi and Jammu & Kashmir.

 

Percentage Death: Gujarat has the highest recorded death percentage of 5.93% on 27.06.2020. Out of 29520 confirmed cases, 1753 deaths are recorded, as on 27.06.2020. Two regions showing 4-5% death percentage are Maharashtra and Madhya Pradesh, in sequence. 3-4% deaths are recorded as on 27.06.2020 at West Bengal, Delhi and Uttar Pradesh in sequence of reducing percentage. The states in 2-3% bracket for death percentage in reducing values are Punjab, Rajasthan, Meghalaya and Telangana. 25 regions have death percentage less than 2% in India as on 27.06.2020.

 

Percentage Active Cases: Active cases are obtained by reducing recovered and death cases from total confirmed cases. Most of the contributing states and regions with higher number of confirmed cases are lying in the range of 30-60%. Dadar and Nagar Haveli is showing largest number of percentage active cases. Out of 155 cases, only 32 recovered making active cases as 123. It amounts to 79.35%. The other regions with more than 55% of active cases are Mizoram, Arunachal Pradesh, Manipur, Goa, Ladhak, Puducherry and Telangana in decreasing percentages. Meghalaya has only 6% active cases, but it has very low reported confirmed cases.

 

Top 4 contributing states: The status of top 4 confirmed cases contributing states are given below separately. Percentage recovery and death both percentages are high for Gujarat, making it the state with least number of active cases. Delhi has less number of percentage active cases as compared to Maharashtra and Tamil Nadu. Tamil Nadu has the lowest death percentage.

Conclusion: Before India acquires the dubious distinction of clocking 5.0 lakh total confirmed cases, this post is an attempt to understand the spread of Pandemic in India through numbers. The percentage active, recovered and death cases are compiled as on 27.06.2020 and the values for top 4 contributing states are also given separately. India has to somehow act in the direction of controlling the Pandemic, which is spreading unabated through the population. I still wonder, with so much coverage, propaganda and awareness, where from new cases are coming in large numbers daily.

 

Dr Himanshu Shekhar