Shekhar's Science Blog

Sunday, May 31, 2020

Rajasthan Madhya Pradesh and Uttar Pradesh on 30.05.2020: COVID Analysis

Rajasthan Madhya Pradesh and Uttar Pradesh on 30.05.2020: COVID Analysis

 

Dr Himanshu Shekhar

 

Introduction: Various states of India, where total number of confirmed cases exceeded 10000, were analysed in previous post. These states are Tamil Nadu, Gujarat, and NCT of Delhi , apart from Maharashtra. In this post, some analysis is presented for second line of confirmed case contributors. These states contributed around 5000 cumulative confirmed cases, each. Data is collected analysed for Growth Factor and Doubling Period.

Rajasthan: Total confirmed cases 8365 with 298 new cases on 30.05.2020. The recovered cases are 5244 and number of deaths are 184. Daily confirmed cases is on the rise but growth factor is around 1 and doubling period is of the order of 16.



Daily confirmed cases is on the rise but growth factor is around 1 and doubling period is of the order of 16.

Madhya Pradesh: Total confirmed cases 7645 with 192 new cases on 30.05.2020. The recovered cases are 4269 and number of deaths are 334.




Daily confirmed cases is on the rise but it is stabilized by the end of May. Growth factor is around 1 and doubling period is of the order of 17.

Uttar Pradesh: Total confirmed cases 7284 with 114 new cases on 30.05.2020. The recovered cases are 4244 and number of deaths are 198.




Daily confirmed cases is declining. Growth factor is lower than 1 and doubling period is of the order of 16.

 

Concluding Remarks: All 3 states discussed in this post displayed total confirmed cases between 5000 and 10000, as on 30.05.2020. Despite rising trend in daily confirmed cases and slightly more than 1 growth factor, these states have very high doubling period. All 3 are showing doubling period of more than 15 and a quick control is possible.

 

Dr Himanshu Shekhar


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